Prepare for an exciting night of MMA action at UFC 310, set to take place in Las Vegas, Nevada.

With preliminaries beginning at 6 p.m. ET (3 p.m. PT) and the main card kicking off at 10 p.m. ET, the event is headlined by a highly anticipated flyweight title bout between Alexandre Pantoja and Kai Asakura.

Our team of MMA experts has meticulously analyzed the 14-fight lineup to identify the best betting opportunities for this pay-per-view event.

Here, we share insights into three key matchups that stand out for their betting value, along with projections and recommended picks from our analysts.

Key Picks and Analysis

Aljamain Sterling vs. Movsar Evloev

Fight time: Approximately 8:45 p.m. ET

Although this pivotal featherweight clash isn’t on the main card, it carries significant implications.

Movsar Evloev, known for his relentless wrestling, averages 6.1 takedowns per five minutes (46% accuracy).

Meanwhile, Aljamain Sterling, the former bantamweight champion, brings his own grappling pedigree with 5.6 takedowns per five minutes (28% accuracy) and an impressive striking differential (+2.5 at distance compared to Evloev’s +1.5).

Sterling’s pace and striking volume could be decisive. His ability to consistently outwork opponents, coupled with improved endurance in the featherweight division, makes him a strong contender.

While Evloev has superior grappling metrics, his competition hasn’t matched Sterling’s caliber.

Additionally, Evloev has struggled against proactive wrestlers in the past.

Sterling, now more acclimated to the featherweight class, may have the edge with technical advantages across most areas of the fight.

His moneyline is worth considering at +200, and his decision prop (+350) also offers value.

Recommended Bet: Aljamain Sterling +200 (Caesars)

Michael Chiesa vs. Max Griffin

Fight time: Approximately 7:15 p.m. ET

In this evenly matched prelim bout, Michael Chiesa enters as a slight underdog (+100), while Max Griffin is favored at -125.

Despite Chiesa’s recent struggles (1-3 in his

last four fights), the betting line has narrowed due to market adjustments and Griffin’s controversial recent performances.

Chiesa’s sole victory in the past few years came against Tony Ferguson, while Griffin’s last win—a split decision against Jeremiah Wells—was highly disputed.

Both fighters are nearing the end of their careers, which levels the playing field further.

Chiesa’s grappling skills and experience make him an attractive pick at +100, especially given his ability to capitalize on Griffin’s vulnerabilities.

Recommended Bet: Michael Chiesa ML (+100 at BetWay)

Randy Brown vs. Bryan Battle

Fight time: Approximately 8:15 p.m. ET

Randy Brown faces Bryan Battle, who missed weight by four pounds, raising concerns about his readiness.

Battle’s recent performances have been impressive, but the quick turnaround after his last fight may have taken a toll.

In contrast, Brown’s size, reach, and technical striking make him a challenging opponent.

Although Battle has found success in the UFC, including a 14-second knockout earlier this year, his weight miss and Brown’s stylistic advantages tilt the odds in the veteran’s favor.

With Brown riding a three-fight win streak, his underdog status at +164 offers solid value.

Recommended Bet: Randy Brown +164 (FanDuel)

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Asakura

Fight time: Approximately 12:15 a.m. ET

The main event features UFC flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja defending his title against promotional newcomer Kai Asakura, a former Rizin champion.

While Pantoja’s dominance in the division is notable, his title fights have often been close contests, with cardio occasionally being a factor.

Asakura’s defensive grappling and durability make him a tough challenge for Pantoja, who has not secured a knockout win in over five years.

This dynamic creates an opportunity to bet on Asakura’s point spread (+9.5 at +105), a line that offers value given his potential to win at least one round.

Recommended Bet: Kai Asakura +9.5 (+105 DraftKings)

Final Thoughts

UFC 310 promises an electrifying night of fights with opportunities for strategic betting.

From Sterling’s calculated striking to Chiesa’s grappling and Brown’s veteran savvy, this card offers intriguing matchups for MMA enthusiasts and bettors alike.

Whether you’re looking for underdog value or prop bets, the insights shared here can help you navigate the action effectively.